The Order of the Two-Week Estimate

Software estimates are predictions of the future made by people who are very good at computers and terrible at seeing the future.

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Choose a format Metal challenge coin Coming soon 1.75" antique-bronze coin with a 3D high-relief front, raised rim lettering and a beaded edge. Ships in a clear capsule with a backing card. Plastic challenge coin Coming soon 1.75" soft PVC (rubber) coin with 2-3 levels of relief, painted in antique-bronze tones. Lighter and lower-cost than metal. Ships in a clear capsule with a backing card.Available once the artwork is finished. Die-cut vinyl sticker Coming soon 3" die-cut vinyl sticker of the coin artwork with a UV- and water-resistant laminate. Laptop and water-bottle grade.Available once the artwork is finished.

Physical coins and stickers are coming soon. Until then, you can email this coin for free.

Meaning

Software estimates are predictions of the future made by people who are very good at computers and terrible at seeing the future.

Design

Front (Obverse)

Top rim: THE ORDER OF THE TWO-WEEK ESTIMATE
Bottom rim: OPTIMISM DIVISION
Center: A fortune teller in a turban gazes confidently into a crystal ball showing "2 WEEKS". Behind them, a wall calendar has had most of its pages torn off.

Back (Reverse)

The same crystal ball, now cracked, inscribed "6 MONTHS LATER".

Finish & Style

Antique bronze challenge coin, ~1.75" diameter, high-relief center scene, raised rim lettering, beaded outer edge. Matches the existing ITChallengeCoins series.

How to Earn It

Give an estimate and then exceed it by at least 3x.
Or give an estimate and actually hit it (rarer; earns the coin with honors).
Or teach a team to estimate with ranges instead of single dates.

Citation

For gazing bravely into the future and reporting what was seen, however wrong.